Forecasting of Indonesian Annual Protein Demand for Nile Tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) Using Exponential Smoothing

The need for protein or the amount of needed by fish sector in Indonesia has never been recorded and known. Although demand aquatic feeds is very high, data related to requirements feed be known determining urgency providing substitutes feed. So, it necessary predict based on a series production data. This study predicted Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus). Three exponential smoothing approaches, namely, single, double, triple smoothing, were applied obtain best model estimation. was analyzed conversion ratio standard content knowing production. Production decreased dramatically 2020. approach predicting which gradual increase 2021. next five years (2025) about 345,331.50 690,663.00 tons scenario FCR 1.2 2.0. It first report tilapia. Thus, government needs prepare fulfillment fish.